BETTING GUIDE: AS Monaco vs Paris St Germain, match preview, team news and betting tip

A Paris Saint-Germain side chasing a fourth consecutive Ligue 1 win travel to the Stade Louis-II to face a Monaco team in freefall mode and staring at the prospect of a fourth straight league defeat.

With both clubs coming off contrasting Champions League nights - PSG victorious in an eight-goal thriller against Tottenham and Monaco dropping points late against Pafos - this fixture arrives at a delicate moment in each club’s season.

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PSG remain top of Ligue 1 and firmly in contention for a fifth successive league crown, but their lead is a narrow one, with Marseille and Lens sitting only two points behind.

Monaco, by contrast, have slid down the table after a sequence of heavy defeats, and pressure is building on Sébastien Pocognoli as his side struggles to arrest their poor run.

Monaco’s domestic collapse has coincided with defensive fragility, and their 4-1 defeats to Lens and Rennes highlight a team struggling to control transitions, protect central spaces, or maintain compactness in their defensive block.

Their Champions League 2-2 draw with Pafos - after twice taking the lead - further showcased a team bereft of game management and confidence.

With eighth position now their reality, Monaco enter this fixture with uncertainty clouding their European hopes and their Ligue 1 campaign.

Their home form has also deteriorated significantly, scoring just twice in their last four competitive matches at the Stade Louis-II.

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PSG, meanwhile, continue finding ways to win even when not at their dominant best. Luis Enrique’s side demonstrated resilience and attacking quality in their 5-3 victory over Tottenham, coming from behind twice before taking control through Vitinha’s outstanding hat-trick.

Their three consecutive league wins - including a comfortable 3-0 victory over Le Havre - reflect a side beginning to rediscover fluidity in possession and efficiency in the final third.

PSG’s eight-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1 reinforces their momentum, though their defensive vulnerabilities remain visible, particularly in transitional phases and wide-area defending.

Despite this, they have already matched last season’s clean-sheet total with seven shutouts, highlighting improved defensive organisation.

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Monaco’s Ligue 1 form (DWWLLL) paints a clear picture of decline.

They have conceded at least four goals in two of their last three matches across all competitions, and their record of 25 goals conceded is the worst among the top-half teams.

Monaco’s inability to control second phases around the box and their exposure in wide areas has made them predictable and easy to break down.

Their overall form in all competitions (WLWL LD) also shows a concerning lack of consistency.

PSG enter the clash in much better shape. Their Ligue 1 form (DW DWWW) and all-competition form (DWLWWW) highlight an upward trend in both attacking rhythm and squad cohesion.

With 3+ goals scored in each of their last three matches and confidence boosted by midweek European success, PSG carry clear momentum into this fixture.

PSG welcomed Ousmane Dembélé back from injury during the Tottenham win, though Achraf Hakimi and Désiré Doué remain unavailable.

Nuno Mendes was substituted at half-time in midweek, but his withdrawal was precautionary, and Enrique may rest him in favour of Lucas Hernandez - whose red card in Europe does not affect domestic availability.

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Monaco’s issues are more problematic.

Denis Zakaria is suspended following his red card in the 4-1 loss to Rennes, leaving a gap in midfield that will likely be filled by Mamadou Coulibaly, despite Paul Pogba being an alternative option after recently returning from injury.

Folarin Balogun is back from suspension, while centre-backs Eric Dier and Christian Mawissa remain out.

Pocognoli’s Monaco are likely to prioritise structural stability and midfield density, attempting to limit PSG’s central combinations and reduce service into Dembele and Vitinha between the lines.

Expect Monaco to adopt a compact 4-2-3-1 out of possession, aiming to hit quickly through Minamino and Balogun.

Their main challenge will be coping with PSG’s rotations, particularly down the left flank where Vitinha and Barcola combine aggressively.

Luis Enrique’s PSG will seek control through high possession, fluid positional interchanges, and aggressive territorial pressure.

Their first-phase build-up aims to draw Monaco’s midfield press wide, allowing centre-midfielders like Vitinha to drift into half-spaces unmarked.

In defensive transition, expect PSG to deploy a counterpressing structure, though this remains an area where Monaco could exploit spaces if PSG lose the ball in advanced zones.

Monaco’s home form has dipped sharply (W1, D1, L2 in last four), with scoring output dropping and defensive cracks widening.

PSG’s away form in 2025 is formidable: they have scored 3+ goals in eight away games this year and carry strong momentum into this fixture.

Monaco historically boast 45 Ligue 1 wins over PSG - more than any other side - but they have failed to beat PSG in the last four league clashes (D1, L3). PSG have scored nine goals across the last three meetings, winning by an aggregate of 9-3.

Key Pointers

Four of Monaco’s last six games have produced over 3.5 goals.

Monaco have conceded 4 goals in two of their last three matches.

PSG have scored first in 12 of their 13 league matches this season.

Both teams have scored in five of PSG’s last six away games.

PSG have scored 3+ goals in three straight matches.

Given Monaco’s defensive collapse, PSG’s attacking form, and the high-goal trends on both sides, this matchup leans toward an open encounter.

Monaco may score - especially with Balogun back - but containing PSG’s fluid front line seems unlikely.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals/PSG to win

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