BETTING GUIDE: Luxembourg vs Germany, Match Preview, Team News and Prediction
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Reading Time: 4min | Thu. 13.11.25. | 18:34
Germany’s professionalism and superior quality should ensure a routine victory. Luxembourg might show flashes of resilience, but the gulf in class remains vast
Luxembourg will look to restore pride when they host four-time world champions Germany in their penultimate 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying fixture.
The Red Lions are bottom of Group A and remain pointless, while Die Mannschaft aim to strengthen their grip at the top and move one step closer to confirming their place in next year’s World Cup.
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For Luxembourg, this campaign has been one to forget.
With four defeats from four matches and a single goal scored, their qualification hopes ended long ago.
Historically, the Red Lions have never qualified for a major tournament, and this cycle has exposed their limitations on both ends of the pitch.
They could even finish a World Cup qualification campaign without a point for the first time since 2006 if results do not improve.
Jeff Strasser’s men have struggled to find a spark, though they will take slight encouragement from their competitive home record - avoiding defeat in half of their last six fixtures at the Stade de Luxembourg (W1, D2, L3).
The task, however, could not be more difficult against a German side that hit four past them in October, even after playing with 10 men for over an hour.
Germany, meanwhile, sits at the summit of Group A with three wins from four matches (L1).
Julian Nagelsmann’s men have bounced back impressively from their early defeat to Slovakia, posting consecutive victories over Northern Ireland, Luxembourg, and Northern Ireland again in the reverse fixture.
Level on points with Slovakia but ahead on goal difference, Germany cannot afford complacency, especially with a decisive meeting against the Slovaks coming up next week.
The Germans have been solid on the road, losing just once in their last seven away games (W4, D2, L1) - that lone defeat being the shock reverse to Slovakia earlier in the campaign.
They remain favourites to take all three points here and could secure qualification with a win, depending on other results in the group.
Die Mannschaft's dominance in this fixture is total.
They have won all four competitive meetings between the two sides by an aggregate score of 20-3.
Luxembourg’s only victory over Germany came decades ago in a friendly, and recent meetings have been one-sided affairs, including last month’s 4-0 rout.
Luxembourg welcomes back left-back Dirk Carlson after suspension, following his early red card in the reverse fixture.
His return is vital for a side already missing several first-team regulars, including Mica Pinto, Vincent Thill, and Yvandro Borges.
Enes Mahmutovic is also ruled out with an abdominal issue.
Aiman Dardari - Luxembourg’s only goalscorer in this qualification campaign - is expected to lead the line, supported by Danel Sinani of St. Pauli and Mathias Olesen of Greuther Fürth.
Both play in Germany and will be eager to impress against familiar opposition.
For Germany, Kai Havertz, Jamal Musiala, Niclas Füllkrug, and Antonio Rüdiger are unavailable through injury.
Captain Joshua Kimmich is likely to continue at right-back, while Waldemar Anton could step in at centre-back for Nico Schlotterbeck, who remains a doubt.
In midfield, Leon Goretzka and Aleksandar Pavlović are expected to anchor the engine room, while Florian Wirtz will operate as the creative hub behind young striker Nick Woltemade, who scored the winner in Belfast.
Serge Gnabry and Karim Adeyemi are likely to start on the flanks, though Leroy Sané could also feature after earning a recall.
Luxembourg will aim to stay compact in a 4-1-4-1 structure, prioritising defensive organisation and counter-attacks through Sinani and Dardari.
Expect them to drop deep early, concede possession, and rely on rare transition moments or set-pieces for scoring opportunities.
Germany, in contrast, will dominate possession with a 4-2-3-1 setup emphasising width, high pressing, and positional rotations.
Wirtz’s creativity and Kimmich’s forward surges from full-back will be crucial in breaking Luxembourg’s low block.
The Germans will look to control the tempo and build patiently, minimising risk while waiting for openings in wide areas.
Key Pointers
- Luxembourg have failed to score in five of their last six games
- Germany have kept three clean sheets in their last four games against Luxembourg, scoring 18 goals themselves
- Germany have won their last three games, including a 4-0 win over Luxembourg
- Luxembourg have only scored in three of their last eight home internationals
Germany are overwhelming favourites and should take full control from the onset, but Luxembourg’s compactness may delay the inevitable, but the visitors’ technical superiority and squad depth should see them through comfortably.
Expect an early goal to set the tone before Nagelsmann’s men ease off in the second half with one eye on their final group fixture.
Germany’s professionalism and superior quality should ensure a routine victory. Luxembourg might show flashes of resilience, but the gulf in class remains vast.
Prediction: Germany to Win & Over 3.5 Goals
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