BETTING GUIDE: Egypt vs Nigeria, match preview, team news and betting tip
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Reading Time: 3min | Fri. 16.01.26. | 21:01
Two of the continent’s giants, both narrowly denied a place in the final, now meet with pride, ranking points and momentum at stake
The Africa Cup of Nations concludes its penultimate act with a heavyweight bronze-medal playoff as Egypt face Nigeria at the Stade Mohammd V in Casablanca.
Two of the continent’s giants, both narrowly denied a place in the final, now meet with pride, ranking points and momentum at stake.
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Egypt arrive at this playoff after a narrow 1-0 semi-final defeat to Senegal, a result that ended a six-match unbeaten run at AFCON (W5 D1).
Across their last six matches, the Pharaohs have won four, drawn one and lost one, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding 0.83.
Half of those matches have gone over 2.5 goals, while both teams to score has landed in 50%.
Defensively, Egypt have been less convincing than other semi-finalists, conceding five goals in the tournament - the highest among the final four.
However, their structure remains compact, and they have shown an ability to manage game states effectively, particularly when playing with a narrow lead.
Team news sees Mohamed Salah and Omar Marmoush retained in camp despite club commitments, a major boost creatively.
Salah, Egypt’s top scorer with four goals, was well contained by Senegal but remains the primary attacking outlet.
Mohamed Hamdy is unlikely to feature due to injury, while Trezeguet is fit again after shaking off a knock.
Nigeria enter this fixture in stronger overall form, despite their semi-final heartbreak.
The Super Eagles were eliminated on penalties by hosts Morocco after a 0-0 draw, but they remain unbeaten in open play throughout the competition.
In their last six matches, Nigeria have recorded five wins and one draw, averaging 2.33 goals scored and just 0.67 conceded per game.
They are the tournament’s top scorers with 14 goals and have kept clean sheets in their last three outings.
Away from home, Nigeria have been particularly effective, winning convincingly against Algeria and Uganda earlier in the competition.
Victor Osimhen is the major fitness concern after suffering an ankle knock in the semi-final, and his availability remains uncertain.
Wilfred Ndidi returns from suspension to strengthen midfield control, though Calvin Bassey will miss out after accumulating bookings.
Ademola Lookman, the tournament’s leading assist provider with four, remains a key creative force.
Recent H2Hs lean slightly in Nigeria’s favour. The Super Eagles have won two of the last three competitive meetings, including a 1-0 victory at AFCON 2021.
However, Egypt did edge a recent friendly 2-1 in December 2025. Historically, this fixture tends to be tight, averaging just 1.67 goals per game.
Key betting pointers;
Nigeria are the highest scorers at AFCON 2025.
Nigeria have kept three consecutive clean sheets.
Egypt have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three matches.
Egypt have scored one goal or fewer in four of their last five AFCON games.
Egypt’s experience and individual quality ensure they remain competitive, but Nigeria’s balance, defensive solidity and attacking depth have been superior across the tournament.
With the Super Eagles unbeaten in open play and consistently creating high-quality chances, they look better placed to claim the bronze medal.
Nigeria’s tournament-long consistency gives them the edge in what should be another controlled, tactical encounter in Casablanca.
Prediction; Over 1,5 goals
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