BETTING GUIDE: Everton vs Leeds United, match preview, team news and betting tip
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Reading Time: 3min | Sun. 25.01.26. | 20:21
Everton are eyeing a return to the European conversation while Leeds continue their steady push away from the relegation zone.
Everton will close out Matchday 23 of the Premier League when they welcome Leeds United to Hill Dickinson Stadium on Monday night.
This encounter comes at an intriguing point in the season for both sides, with Everton eyeing a return to the European conversation while Leeds continue their steady push away from the relegation zone.
The match kicks off under the lights in what promises to be a tense, tactical affair rather than a goal-heavy spectacle.
The Toffees arrive buoyed by one of their most impressive results of the campaign - a surprise 1-0 away victory over title-chasing Aston Villa.
That result marked Everton’s first league win of 2026 and lifted David Moyes’ side into 11th place, just four points off the Champions League spots before the weekend’s fixtures.
However, despite that momentum, Everton’s home form remains a concern.
They are winless in their last four league matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium, losing three and drawing one.
Looking at Everton’s recent form, their last six matches in all competitions have produced just 2.17 goals per game, with six of their last eight ending under 2.5 goals.
They have scored an average of 1.17 goals while conceding exactly one per match in that run, underlining their controlled but blunt attacking output.
Even so, Everton have failed to score at home only three times all season, suggesting they are competitive but rarely dominant.
Team news may again shape Moyes’ approach.
Jack Grealish is ruled out with a foot injury, while Michael Keane remains suspended.
Jarrad Branthwaite and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall are racing against time to be fit, while AFCON returnees Iliman Ndiaye and Idrissa Gueye could feature after late fitness checks.
Thierno Barry, who scored the winner at Villa Park, remains a key attacking outlet.
Leeds United travel to Merseyside in quietly impressive form.
Daniel Farke’s side have lost just once in their last 10 matches across all competitions and come into this fixture off back-to-back wins against Fulham and Derby County.
That run has lifted Leeds to 16th place with a five-point cushion over the relegation zone, easing early-season fears.
A tactical switch to a 3-5-2 system has transformed Leeds defensively, with the Whites conceding more than one goal just once in their last eight games.
Their last six matches have averaged 2.67 total goals, though away from home Leeds remain winless in eight league fixtures.
Injuries persist, with Jaka Bijol and Daniel James sidelined, while Anton Stach is doubtful, but Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha continue to provide a reliable goal threat.
Historically, Everton dominate this fixture at home, losing just once in their last 16 home league meetings with Leeds.
However, Leeds won the reverse fixture 1-0 on opening weekend and are chasing their first league double over Everton since 1990/91.
Notably, the last three meetings between these sides have all finished under 2.5 goals.
Key betting pointers;
Six of Everton’s last eight matches have finished under 2.5 goals.
Leeds have conceded more than once only once in eight games.
Everton have scored more than one goal in just two of their last eight fixtures.
The last three head-to-head meetings produced under 2.5 goals.
With both teams prioritising structure and defensive solidity, this fixture looks set to follow recent trends.
Everton’s home struggles and Leeds’ compact setup point toward another tight contest with limited chances.
Prediction; Under 2.5 goals
Disclaimer: Whilst we do our utmost to offer good advice and information, we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling
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