BETTING GUIDE: Burundi vs Kenya, match preview, team news and betting guide
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Reading Time: 4min | Wed. 08.10.25. | 18:18
This is a match that could go either way. Burundi will enjoy the home advantage and have looked organised at home. On the other hand, Kenya has been more dynamic in attack and could punish any defensive lapses
Burundi will host Kenya in the penultimate round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers for Group F on Thursday, October 9, 2025, at the Prince Louis Rwagasore Stadium in Bujumbura.
With only one team from each group guaranteed automatic qualification, the two teams will be fighting for nothing but CECAFA bragging rights.
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Kenya currently sits in fifth place with nine points, while Burundi edges them out in fourth with 10 points.
With group leaders Ivory Coast and second-placed Gabon significantly ahead, the path to the World Cup is nonexistent for the other teams in the group.
Burundi has delivered a mix of performances in their recent outings, registering 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches.
Their last match, a 2-0 away defeat to The Gambia, exposed some defensive frailties, particularly under pressure from quick, technical attackers.
At home, however, Burundi have been solid, boasting a 100% win record in the qualifiers thus far.
Their overall goal tally of 13 scored and 10 conceded speaks to their open style of play, dangerous going forward, but still shaky at the back.
Much of their attacking responsibility will fall on the shoulders of Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana, who plays his club football in Saudi Arabia for Jeddah SC.
Alongside him, Bienvenue Kanakimana of Czech club FC Zbrojovka Brno provides pace and creativity, capable of unpicking defences with his movement and flair.
Both players have experience in competitive leagues and are capable of producing game-changing moments.
The key for Burundi will be balancing their attack with defensive structure, especially against a Kenyan side that has shown signs of a resurgence.
Despite sitting fifth and with no hope of qualification, Kenya’s recent form suggests a team on the rise.
With 3 wins, 2 defeats in their last five matches, they are showing signs of building momentum.
The Harambee Stars come into this fixture full of confidence after thrashing Seychelles 5-0 in their previous World Cup Qualifier.
Head coach Benni McCarthy has instilled belief in the squad, blending experienced figures with a wave of fresh talent.
Kenya’s goal difference in the World Cup Qualifiers, 17 scored, 11 conceded, indicates a team focused on attacking, but also still vulnerable at the back, particularly in away fixtures.
A major concern for Kenya ahead of the game is the potential absence of Michael Olunga, Alpha Onyango, and Ronney Onyango, all of whom are carrying knocks and will undergo late fitness tests.
Olunga, Kenya’s captain and third all-time top scorer, is the focal point of the attack, and his potential absence would blunt their offensive threat.
Despite the injury worries, the coach remains optimistic and hinted at using the remaining qualifiers to hand opportunities to emerging talents, including Lawrence Okoth, who could feature in attack.
The last five meetings between Burundi and Kenya have been tightly contested, highlighting just how evenly matched these sides are.
Each team has claimed one victory, while three of the encounters ended in draws.
Notably, their most recent World Cup qualifier finished in a 1-1 stalemate - a result that reflects the narrow margins between the two teams.
A cautious and tactical approach is likely to dominate, especially in the early stages of the match.
Key pointers
Burundi has managed only one clean sheet in their eight World Cup qualifying matches.
The last meeting between the two ended in a 1-1 draw.
Kenya has scored in each of their last five matches.
Burundi has conceded in two of their last five matches.
This is a match that could go either way.
Burundi will enjoy the home advantage and have looked organised at home.
On the other hand, Kenya has been more dynamic in attack and could punish any defensive lapses.
Expect a tightly contested encounter, with both teams likely to find the net. Kenya may just edge it if they can capitalise on set pieces and individual brilliance.
Although both teams are now mathematically out of contention for World Cup qualification, this match still promises excitement, competitive spirit, and plenty of passion as they play for pride and regional bragging rights.
Prediction: Both teams to score
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