BETTING GUIDE: Spain vs Turkey, Match Preview, Team News and Betting Prediction
Reading Time: 5min | Mon. 17.11.25. | 22:00
While official confirmation is still pending, La Roja have been flawless throughout the qualifying campaign and remain comfortably in control of top spot
Spain will look to seal their inevitable place at the 2026 FIFA World Cup as they host Turkey in Sevilla in their final Group E fixture.
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While official confirmation is still pending, La Roja have been flawless throughout their qualifying campaign and remain comfortably in control of the top spot.
For Turkey, the equation is far more complicated - and effectively impossible.
With a seven-goal win, the only route to leapfrog Spain, Vincenzo Montella’s men are all but guaranteed to advance into the playoffs, where they will fight for their first World Cup appearance since 2002.
Spain comes into their final qualifying fixture as the dominant force in Group E.
They have won all five of their World Cup qualifiers, scoring 19 goals and conceding none - a remarkable feat unmatched in their qualifying history.
Their 4-0 victory away to Georgia on Saturday was yet another statement performance, featuring goals from Martin Zubimendi, Ferran Torres and a brace from Mikel Oyarzabal, who celebrated his 50th cap in style.
That win also extended Spain’s national record to 30 competitive matches unbeaten (W26, D4), a run that includes their Euro 2024 triumph and last season’s Nations League title.
With such momentum and depth at their disposal, Luis de la Fuente’s side can approach this match with freedom and confidence.
Barring a catastrophic seven-goal defeat, Spain will finish top of Group E.
This fixture, therefore, doubles as both a formality and a valuable warm-up ahead of next summer’s tournament in the USA, Canada and Mexico.
Turkey, meanwhile, have enjoyed a strong qualifying campaign by all measures - winning every match aside from their heavy defeat to Spain in Istanbul.
That 6-0 demolition remains the defining setback of their group run, and it is ultimately what has shut the door on any hopes of automatic qualification.
Still, Montella’s men head to Sevilla with pride and momentum after a routine 2-0 win over Bulgaria courtesy of a Hakan Çalhanoğlu penalty and an own goal from Atanas Chernev.
While Turkey’s dream of topping the group is practically unattainable, their away record provides reason for optimism.
They have won all three of their competitive away matches in 2025, and maintaining that rhythm ahead of the playoffs is a key objective.
But facing Spain away, unbeaten for over two years in competitive fixtures, presents an entirely different challenge.
History strongly favours Spain.
All four meetings between the nations since 2000 have ended in Spanish victories - three of them accompanied by clean sheets.
The reverse fixture in Istanbul earlier in the campaign ended 6–0, one of Spain’s most emphatic competitive wins in modern history.
With Spain’s ruthless consistency and Turkey’s attack-minded approach, a high-tempo encounter is expected.
Spain enters this fixture with several notable absentees, including Pedri, Rodri, Dani Carvajal and Lamine Yamal.
Real Madrid’s Dean Huijsen also sat out of the win over Georgia with a groin issue and is unlikely to be risked.
However, Spain’s squad depth ensures that these injuries have not disrupted continuity.
Mikel Oyarzabal is in the form of his life, producing eight goals in his last eight international appearances.
Martín Zubimendi and Ferran Torres are expected to retain their starting roles after impressing on Saturday, while Yeremy Pino provides an option should De la Fuente choose to rotate and inject fresh energy into the forward line.
Structurally, Spain have leaned on a possession-dominant 4-3-3, built on fluid rotations, wide overloads and disciplined rest-defense.
Their ability to control games through midfield is unmatched in this group, and their high pressing has suffocated opponents consistently.
Turkey will be without Ismail Yüksek, who serves a one-match suspension. Kaan Ayhan also faces a race against time after limping off against Bulgaria.
Further concerns surround Abdulkerim Bardakci and Kerem Aktürkoğlu, who missed Sunday’s training session.
Despite these setbacks, Turkey still boast match-winners - chief among them captain Çalhanoğlu, who has delivered one goal and six assists in his last three WCQ appearances.
His creativity and dead-ball expertise remain crucial.
Tactically, Montella favours a 4-2-3-1 geared toward transition moments and early attacking surges.
While they have scored freely in qualifying, their defensive vulnerabilities - especially against high pressing and wide overloads - were badly exposed in the reverse fixture.
Spain are overwhelming favourites.
Their form, defensive solidity, home advantage and superior technical quality make them almost impossible to bet against.
Turkey, though dangerous in transition, have struggled historically in Spain and have not beaten La Roja in nine consecutive meetings (W6, D3).
Given Spain’s attacking rhythm and Turkey’s tendency to engage in open, high-scoring matches, this contest has strong potential for goals at both ends - especially with Spain likely to rotate slightly and Turkey chasing a confidence-boosting result.
Key Pointers
- Spain have kept five straight clean sheets in WCQ
- Turkey’s WCQ matches average 5.0 goals per match
- Spain have scored 3+ goals in four of their five qualifiers
- Turkey’s attacking form is strong, but they have lost all four modern-era H2Hs vs Spain
- Spain have scored in both halves in each of their last four WCQ games
- Twelve of Turkey’s 15 goals in WCQ came before the 60-minute mark, reflecting early aggression but also potential late fatigue.
Spain’s dominance, combined with Turkey’s wide-open match patterns, makes goals the most reliable betting angle. Expect Spain to control proceedings, but Turkey’s early-intensity style may also produce chances.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
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